Methodology

One simulated state, run in a loop that never stops checking itself.

VINTAGE 25·01ROOFWOOD SHAKECONSTRUCTIONWOOD FRAME · 1974TERRAINSLOPE 14°WEATHERWIND 25 MPHVENTSUNSCREENED
01 · State

A per-structure model of every US home: footprint, construction, terrain, exposure. Every snapshot carries a vintage stamp.

FIRE
02 · Dynamics

Physics solvers roll a scenario through that state: fire spread, water, wind fields, ground motion, debris runout.

ROOFPf 0.62VENTSPf 0.78WALLSPf 0.34FOUNDATIONPf 0.12H+0H+6ONSET
03 · Components

Where a hazard reaches a structure, each assembly gets a failure probability with its mechanism and onset hour.

ONE RUN → MANY HOMES SCORED FAST
04 · Surrogate

A learned surrogate reproduces the solver's output fast enough to score whole books against many scenarios.

01 · STATEthe homeCANDIDATEvN+1BACK-TESTWILDFIREFLOODWINDQUAKEDEBRISFAILS QUAKE → CANNOT SHIPRECORDED OUTCOMES → 01
05 · Closed loop

Recorded outcomes flow back in, and every candidate model re-runs the full back-test board. A version that loses on any leg can't ship.